The unexpected! consequences of war with Russia

At this writing the Brandon mail order mal administration is leading us into a shooting war with Russia in the Ukraine.  Your Irascible Correspondent does not intend to examine the reasons for this at this time, though it becomes pretty evident that the vast sums of money the Revolutionary Junta proposes to lavish on Ukraine, which turns out to be a major hub of international money laundering, is really about the political high and mighty looting the US Taxpayers to fund their escape plan.  They have kicked the can as far down the road as they can, they can see the gravy train is going to go off the rails and they don’t intend to be anywhere around when the music stops.

War with Russia will cover their nefarious activities with the Ukraine biolabs, justify sending billions upon billions to fight across the sea, secure their cut of big pharma’s profits, cement the destruction of the USA on behalf of the Chinese and the Davos Globalists, and secure absolute power of the Deep State to rule the wreckage when they get around to Build Back Better.  But there are going to be consequences our putative Fearless Leaders aren’t telling us about.  Karl Denninger lays it out:

Folks, understand one thing about the US getting involved in an actual shooting war with anyone.

You immediately will have no semi-conductor anything, zero lithium batteries for anything at all from electric cars to cellphones, 75% or better of the pharmaceuticals in common use will disappear instantly, finding tires will be nearly impossible, automotive and machine parts, specifically wear parts such as bearings will all become unobtanium and more.  Even something as simple as a circuit breaker for your house will not be able to be sourced.  ALL of the large transformers used to distribute electrical power in the United States, never mind nearly all of the switchgear, are made overseas in whole or part and thus if they fail, whether due to natural or man-made cause they cannot be replaced in such an event either.    Within a few months spares for critical parts that are considered wear items and thus must be replaced on a schedule will run out in our energy generation and distribution system and failures will begin to occur with impact from local areas to entire regions.

Your local gas station and supermarket cash register (never mind most modern refrigerators, HVAC systems and similar) all have chips in them that are only made overseas; there is no replacement available made in the United States.  Your much-vaunted heat pump that is so “green” has a defrost control board in it without which it will not function — if you bypass it (which you can in some cases) once the temperatures get below about 40 degrees outside the unit will fail or be destroyed without it, and there won’t be a replacement available at any cost.  Even the contactor (relay) in that outdoor unit has no US supply and without it the unit doesn’t work.  Your gas furnace has an ignitor and control board without which you have no heat, they do fail and, again, there is no US supply. We did this to ourselves with our decades-long stupidity offshoring everything and by doing so made it possible for any nation that can sink even a single container ship to break the United States economy and perhaps even a few million people’s survival within minutes.

Commercial shipping will go to zero basically immediately as anything that floats and is big is easy to sink and without insurance, which nobody will write, nobody will ship anythingbecause someone is going to eat the entire cost if the ship ends up on the bottom of the ocean and there is nobody in their right mind who will take that risk.

This is the crazy of international supply chains when there is no substitution here at home available in the size required.  It all depends on everything being “peaceful” — both economically and militarily.  You can go shoot goat herders without impacting that but the minute hostilities break out with someone that has actual reach into shipping lanes you must expect them to spend one conventional torpedo costing a few tens of thousands of dollars and once they do anything and everything headed your way stops.

Container ships are trivially easy to send down to see Davey Jones; they’re huge, they’re lightly crewed which means no serious amount of damage control is available and they’re certainly not built and fitted out to survive in a wartime environment.

Yeah, I know, you’re sure it won’t happen.

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